Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1140.909737 1312.223998 1509.253007 1754.611980 2054.762097 2413.648568 2.880827e+03
2024-12-22 886.009460 1097.308875 1365.887934 1739.816430 2259.429710 2975.890855 4.076190e+03
2024-12-29 768.896909 997.014409 1305.945907 1768.984116 2471.868776 3547.576783 5.427658e+03
2025-01-05 662.244996 887.061025 1205.685756 1709.993547 2528.978609 3890.799917 6.543652e+03
2025-01-12 585.507705 805.218946 1128.451513 1663.998204 2585.852427 4236.502280 7.795048e+03
2025-01-19 523.561347 735.800169 1057.863097 1612.520206 2616.619123 4537.249570 9.087679e+03
2025-01-26 499.634771 719.833506 1066.167196 1690.455920 2891.497681 5385.799864 1.207089e+04
2025-02-02 473.229318 696.353633 1058.258913 1737.188365 3116.621052 6208.607544 1.555806e+04
2025-02-09 449.794426 674.699541 1049.925939 1780.527317 3344.212580 7122.618026 2.007164e+04
2025-02-16 421.329174 641.671568 1017.637625 1772.037012 3457.467871 7798.441701 2.443813e+04
2025-02-23 405.397620 628.072782 1017.837165 1827.502834 3729.966520 9023.427652 3.243727e+04
2025-03-02 387.571499 609.390956 1006.357510 1856.554439 3946.921262 10195.346993 4.202377e+04
2025-03-09 365.787231 583.375437 981.219831 1859.228743 4118.188243 11388.824369 5.464158e+04
2025-03-16 341.966863 551.931717 942.857093 1827.979976 4196.918259 12343.725289 6.855610e+04
2025-03-23 327.614175 536.347750 933.525323 1861.236421 4468.494017 14226.972491 9.680953e+04
2025-03-30 305.190925 503.846280 886.747460 1797.937069 4436.078485 14848.058608 1.159473e+05
2025-04-06 286.310821 476.612708 848.132237 1748.879110 4436.587709 15643.765193 1.422492e+05
2025-04-13 268.655645 450.460551 809.375530 1693.957532 4405.227941 16290.850017 1.717585e+05
2025-04-20 264.274650 449.570265 823.697821 1777.112948 4866.525421 19942.434032 2.990341e+05
2025-04-27 257.342098 443.073073 825.204060 1827.011952 5233.589447 23550.139580 5.109323e+05
2025-05-04 250.538147 436.276756 825.303520 1873.312002 5609.258773 27785.460400 9.377858e+05
2025-05-11 240.337152 421.852504 806.841726 1864.239777 5764.669926 30701.271400 1.528064e+06
2025-05-18 235.333630 417.726748 811.529534 1923.523099 6234.730260 37078.258334 3.789953e+06